Employment Report March 2023
Nonfarm payrolls increased 236,000 in March, very close to the consensus expected 230,000. Payroll gains for January and February were […]
Nonfarm payrolls increased 236,000 in March, very close to the consensus expected 230,000. Payroll gains for January and February were […]
History is full of economic and societal collapses. The Incan and Roman societies disappeared, the Ottoman Empire fell apart, and […]
Fifteen years ago, in 2008, the Federal Reserve started an experiment in monetary policy, switching from a “scarce reserve” system […]
View from the Observation Deck Companies have a number of ways in which to return capital to their shareholders. As […]
The ISM Non-Manufacturing index dropped to 51.2 in March, well below the consensus expected 54.4. (Levels above 50 signal expansion; […]
The trade deficit in goods and services came in at $70.5 billion in February, larger than the consensus expected $68.8 […]
View from the Observation Deck One of the most common questions we field on an ongoing basis is the following: […]
The ISM Manufacturing Index declined to 46.3 in March, lagging the consensus expected 47.5. (Levels higher than 50 signal expansion; […]
If you were bullish for 2023…congratulations! The S&P 500 rose 7.0% in the first quarter and, although we still have […]
Personal income rose 0.3% in February (+0.4% including revisions to prior months), matching consensus expectations. Personal consumption rose 0.2% in […]
Real GDP growth in Q4 was revised slightly lower to a 2.6% annual rate from a prior estimate of and […]
View from the Observation Deck Today’s blog post provides a quarterly snapshot of the total cash and cash equivalent holdings […]
View from the Observation Deck Today’s blog post offers a visual representation of trends in money market fund assets over […]
The Federal Reserve raised short-term interest rates by another quarter point on Wednesday. That, by itself, was clear, with the […]